Equities Weekly: China Equities – An Opportune Moment for Investors
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Chief Investment Office5 Nov 2025
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China equities: An opportune moment for investors. We maintain a constructive stance on China/Hong Kong equities, bolstered by the recent US–China summit that established a one-year trade truce. Key outcomes included halving fentanyl-related tariffs, pausing entity-list expansions, suspending rare-earth export controls, and resuming agricultural purchases. This framework materially reduces near-term policy uncertainty, lifting a major overhang that has dampened investor sentiment towards China/Hong Kong equities. It also enhances visibility for global supply chains and opens a window for sustained cooperation. Despite a strong YTD rally, valuation discounts remain wide at 30–35% vs Developed Markets, offering both attractive re-rating potential and downside protection. We believe this presents an opportune moment for investors to re-evaluate their underweight positions and capitalise on the projected strong mid-teens earnings growth in 2026, alongside improving sentiment and fund flows.

Even if short-term trade tensions resurface, we expect limited macro impact on China: US-bound exports now account for just 10% of China’s total exports (c.2% of GDP), down from 20% in 2019. Moreover, Beijing’s “155” policy blueprint – emphasising technological autonomy, high-end manufacturing, and domestic consumption – signals unwavering momentum in structural reforms. We favour quality growth in tech platform companies, AI supply chains, and new consumption trends, which align with China’s strategic pivot towards a resilient, innovation-led economy.

Equity fund flows: During the week ending 29 Oct, Developed Market (DM) equity funds maintained strong momentum with a seventh consecutive week of inflows, reaching USD16.5bn. US and EU equity funds saw inflows of USD6bn and USD5.2bn respectively, as softer US inflation data reinforced rate cut expectations. Global Emerging Market (EM) funds recorded inflows of USD0.74bn, though Asia reflected more cautious sentiment as markets awaited the outcome of US-China trade negotiations, with China registering outflows of USD1.4bn.

Figure 1: Valuation gap to narrow


Source: Bloomberg, DBS


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