Digital Assets Update 3Q24: Crypto and US politics
Crypto markets are volatile and increasingly focused on the US elections for cues toward greater acceptability. CBDC trials, design, and experiments continue.
Group Research - Econs20 Aug 2024
  • The Bitcoin market has matured, with its response to supply shocks being similar to equities.
  • US election outcomes could pose changes to the regulatory landscape for digital assets.
  • Ether underperformed Bitcoin in the recent sell-off.
  • Potential regulatory approval for ETH staking via ETFs could serve as a medium-term catalyst.
  • Global progression of CBDCs continues apace.
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In an extraordinary set of developments, US elections and cryptos have found a non-trivial area of overlap. While Donald Trump has been quoted launching a strident support for cryptos, particularly bitcoin, even the Kamala Harris team has given constructive signals toward private digital currencies. We think this reflects the wealth of the crypto lobby, as election finances are at stake. We are less sure if this translates into major regulatory support post elections. On the central bank digital currency space, we see tangible progress toward refining the parameters of wholesale CBDC. The bottom line is that both private and public digital assets are very much in play, with past instances of strident regulatory action increasingly in the rearview mirror.


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Taimur Baig, Ph.D.

Chief Economist - Global
[email protected]

Chang Wei Liang

FX & Credit Strategist, Global
[email protected]

Nathan Chow

Senior Economist and Strategist - China & Hong Kong 
[email protected]


Samuel Tse 

Economist - China & Hong Kong 
[email protected]
 


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