
Click here to read the full report.
Bitcoin recovery amidst conflict
Bitcoin price has rebounded over 10% to touch USD75k since bottoming out in late-Feb. Bitcoin saw a sharp drawdown towards the USD63k level at the onset of the US-Iran conflict, but it has subsequently rebounded even as broader risk assets remain under pressure. This underscores that even with Bitcoin being a high-beta risk asset, its price can diverge based on idiosyncratic dynamics. Crypto sentiment was supported after Trump posted on 4 Mar that the Market Structure bill should be done as soon as possible, and that “banks should be not allowed to undermine the Crypto Agenda”.
Geopolitical conflict has also not dented Bitcoin as much as other currencies, or even gold. Institutional flows remained robust, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their first five-day inflow streak of 2026 last week, pulling in ~USD767mn, while total March inflows have already surpassed USD1.3bn. A major Bitcoin treasury company had also acquired 17,994 BTC for USD 1.28bn per its 9 Mar announcement, bringing their total holdings to 738,731 BTC.
The Ethereum blockchain is poised for twice yearly hard forks to improve on-chain economics. The Ethereum Foundation’s Feb. 18 roadmap reset gave a clear three-track plan: Scale, Improve UX, and Harden the L1. The push to raise the gas limit should let ETH handle more activity on the main chain. Glamsterdam upgrade (1H26) focuses on base-layer scaling and block-building improvements, while Hegotá (2H26) should advance smart accounts and broader usability. The direction is positive for L1 economics, and this should support ecosystem growth and fee generation.
Click here to read the full report
Subscribe here to receive our economics & macro strategy materials.
To unsubscribe, please click here.
GENERAL DISCLOSURE/ DISCLAIMER (For Macroeconomics, Currencies, Interest Rates & Digital Assets)
The information herein is published by DBS Bank Ltd and/or DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited (each and/or collectively, the “Company”). It is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but the Company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to its accuracy, completeness, timeliness or correctness for any particular purpose. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This research is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendation contained herein does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. The information herein is published for the information of addressees only and is not to be taken in substitution for the exercise of judgement by addressees, who should obtain separate legal or financial advice. The Company, or any of its related companies or any individuals connected with the group accepts no liability for any direct, special, indirect, consequential, incidental damages or any other loss or damages of any kind arising from any use of the information herein (including any error, omission or misstatement herein, negligent or otherwise) or further communication thereof, even if the Company or any other person has been advised of the possibility thereof. The information herein is not to be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or to provide any investment advice or services. The Company and its associates, their directors, officers and/or employees may have positions or other interests in, and may effect transactions in securities mentioned herein and may also perform or seek to perform broking, investment banking and other banking or financial services for these companies. The information herein is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country, or other jurisdiction (including but not limited to citizens or residents of the United States of America) where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation. The information is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction (including but not limited to the United States of America) where such an offer or solicitation would be contrary to law or regulation.
[#for Distribution in Singapore] This report is distributed in Singapore by DBS Bank Ltd (Company Regn. No. 196800306E) which is Exempt Financial Advisers as defined in the Financial Advisers Act and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. DBS Bank Ltd may distribute reports produced by its respective foreign entities, affiliates or other foreign research houses pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the report is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, DBS Bank Ltd accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact DBS Bank Ltd at 65-6878-8888 for matters arising from, or in connection with the report.
DBS Bank Ltd., 12 Marina Boulevard, Marina Bay Financial Centre Tower 3, Singapore 018982. Tel: 65-6878-8888. Company Registration No. 196800306E.
DBS Bank Ltd., Hong Kong Branch, a company incorporated in Singapore with limited liability. 18th Floor, The Center, 99 Queen’s Road Central, Central, Hong Kong SAR.
DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited, a company incorporated in Hong Kong with limited liability. 11th Floor, The Center, 99 Queen’s Road Central, Central, Hong Kong SAR.
Virtual currencies are highly speculative digital "virtual commodities", and are not currencies. It is not a financial product approved by the Taiwan Financial Supervisory Commission, and the safeguards of the existing investor protection regime does not apply. The prices of virtual currencies may fluctuate greatly, and the investment risk is high. Before engaging in such transactions, the investor should carefully assess the risks, and seek its own independent advice.